683a1619c782e11e38d1b1c0
3967
ASTRAL Score for Ischemic Stroke
ASTRAL Score for Ischemic Stroke
ASTRAL Score
Predicts 90-day poor outcome in patients with acute ischemic stroke.
90-day poor outcome in stroke.
astral-score-stroke
ASTRAL Score for Ischemic Stroke predicts 90-day poor outcome in patients with acute ischemic stroke.
Astral, stroke, cva, tia, ischemic stroke, athens stroke registry, outcome, mortality, stroke score, dragon score, sedan score, soar score, modified soar score, msoar score, iscore, plan score, isss, ischemic stroke survival score
[ "AMS", "Neurologic Deficit", "Weakness" ]
Addition of the selected points:
The ASTRAL (Acute Stroke Registry and Analysis of Lausanne) Score was originally developed in a study by Ntaios et al in 2012, which identified six clinical and laboratory predictors of poor functional outcome, defined as a
The AUC was 0.85 in the derivation cohort; this study also had an internal validation of the score using separate stroke registry cohorts from Athens (n = 1,659; AUC 0.94) and Vienna (n = 653; AUC 0.77). The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test was non-significant in all cohorts, indicating a well-calibrated score (derivation, p = 0.43; Athens, p = 0.22; Vienna, p = 0.49).
The ASTRAL Score was determined to have the following specificities, sensitivities, and positive and negative predictive values for determining functional outcome (mRS 3–6) at 90 days at the cut-points below. Note: Due to low numbers of observations, numbers associated with the highest ASTRAL Scores should be interpreted with caution.
|
ASTRAL Score cut-point |
Sensitivity, % |
Specificity, % |
Positive predictive value, % |
Negative predictive value, % |
|
18 |
97.3 |
28.5 |
40.7 |
95.4 |
|
23 |
84.8 |
65.9 |
55.6 |
89.6 |
|
31 |
59.6 |
90.2 |
75.5 |
81.6 |
|
38 |
31.3 |
97.5 |
86.5 |
73.8 |
|
43 |
17.4 |
99.6 |
96.0 |
70.5 |
The ASTRAL Score was subsequently validated by Liu et al (2013) in a Chinese cohort (n = 3,755). The AUC was comparable to that determined in the original derivation study by Ntaios et al (AUC 0.82, 95%CI, 0.81-0.83).
In the largest validation study of the ASTRAL Score to date, Cooray et al (2016) examined the prediction of functional outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke treated with IV thrombolysis as part of the SITS-ISTR (Safe Implementation of Thrombolysis in Stroke-International Stroke Thrombolysis Register; n = 36,131). While the AUC of the ASTRAL score was 0.79 (95%CI, 0.786 – 0.795), the SITS-ISTR cohort had a higher mean NIH stroke scale (12.2 vs. 8.9, p<0.0001), a shorter time from onset to assessment (82.2 min vs. 395.8 min, p<0.0001) and a smaller proportion of patients achieving 0-2 at 90 days (57.4% vs 66%) than the original derivation cohort.
Multiple external validations have been conducted for the ASTRAL Score’s ability to predict post-stroke outcomes not examined in the original ASTRAL Score derivation study, including:
In addition, a recent analysis of a large independent European dataset showed that the ASTRAL Score performed best when compared to 6 similar prognostic scores, though the authors cautioned that it still may not prognosticate well enough to be used as the only basis for clinical decision making (Quinn 2017).
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{ "Clinical Practice Guidelines": [], "Manufacturer Website": [], "Original/Primary Reference": [ { "href": "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22649218", "text": "Ntaios G, Faouzi M, Ferrari J, Lang W, Vemmos K, Michel P. An integer-based score to predict functional outcome in acute ischemic stroke: the ASTRAL score. Neurology. 2012;78(24):1916-22." } ], "Other References": [], "Outcomes": [], "Validation": [ { "href": "https://stroke.ahajournals.org/content/47/6/1493", "text": "Cooray C, Mazya M, Bottai M, Dorado L, Skoda O, Toni D, Ford GA, Wahlgren N, Ahmed N. External Validation of the ASTRAL and DRAGON Scores for Prediction of Functional Outcome in Stroke. Stroke. 2016;47:1493-1499." }, { "href": "https://stroke.ahajournals.org/content/44/5/1443 ", "text": "Liu G, Ntaios G, Zheng H, et al. External validation of the ASTRAL score to predict 3- and 12-month functional outcome in the China National Stroke Registry. Stroke. 2013;44(5):1443-5." }, { "href": "https://stroke.ahajournals.org/content/44/6/1616", "text": "Papavasileiou V, Milionis H, Michel P, et al. ASTRAL score predicts 5-year dependence and mortality in acute ischemic stroke. Stroke. 2013;44(6):1616-20." }, { "href": "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26982991", "text": "Kuster GW, Dutra LA, Brasil IP, Pacheco EP, Arruda MJ, Volcov C, Domingues RB. Performance of four ischemic stroke prognostic scores in a Brazilian population. Arq Neuropsiquiatr. 2016;74(2):133-7." }, { "href": "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28794250", "text": "Quinn TJ, Singh S, Lees KR, Bath PM, Myint PK. Validating and comparing stroke prognosis scales. Neurology. 2017;89(10):997-1002." } ], "Validations": [] }
Patients with acute ischemic stroke admitted within 24 hours of stroke onset.
Can provide additional information on medium-term functional outcome in patients that have suffered acute ischemic stroke, in addition to clinical judgment based on relevant clinical and laboratory variables. Does not need neuroimaging data to calculate. Can be used to adjust for functional outcome in multivariate models in acute stroke-related research studies. Can serve as a selection criterion for cohorts in acute stroke-related research studies.
[ "Stroke/TIA" ]
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Use in patients with acute ischemic stroke admitted within 24 hours of stroke onset.
2022-04-21T20:29:30.755Z
[ "Prognosis" ]
[ "astral", "athens", "stroke score", "cva", "tia", "ischemic stroke", "brain attack" ]
{ "keywords_en": "Astral, stroke, cva, tia, ischemic stroke, athens stroke registry, outcome, mortality, stroke score, dragon score, sedan score, soar score, modified soar score, msoar score, iscore, plan score, isss, ischemic stroke survival score", "meta_description_en": "ASTRAL Score for Ischemic Stroke predicts 90-day poor outcome in patients with acute ischemic stroke." }
[ "Cardiology", "Critical Care (Neurologic)", "Neurology" ]
[ "Cardiac", "Neurologic" ]
[]
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true
[ "whenToUseViewed", "pearlsPitfallsViewed", "whyUseViewed", "nextStepsViewed", "evidenceViewed" ]
[ "cardiology", "neurology" ]
[ "Patients with acute ischemic stroke admitted within 24 hours of stroke onset." ]
false